Revised estimates of temperature changes under net zero CO2 emissions - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
www.nature.com
It is critical that climate changes beyond net zero are well understood to inform policymaking. Here we present a new estimate of post-abrupt net zero CO2 temperature changes using a method that filters for variability on multiple timescales. Our findings indicate that 50 years after abrupt emission cessation, the multi-model median temperature change is −0.19 °C, with a range spanning from −0.44 °C to 0.04 °C, which is cooler than previous estimates.
  • artifex@piefed.socialEnglish
    6·
    4 days ago

    As long as we haven’t already hit any of the important tipping points that cause runaway effects of their own, right? (Eg methane clathrates, minimum albedo, etc)

  • FundMECFS@quokk.auEnglish
    6·
    5 days ago

    Our findings indicate that 50 years after abrupt emission cessation, the multi-model median temperature change is −0.19 °C, with a range spanning from −0.44 °C to 0.04 °C, which is cooler than previous estimates.

    • womjunru@lemmy.cafeEnglish
      2·
      4 days ago

      Well, we would have to reach global net zero for any of this to even be possible, and that is pretty unlikely with the direction humanity seems to be taking at the moment.