"The new study adds significantly to the rising concern about an AMOC collapse in the not-too-distant future," said one scientist. "We will ignore this at our peril."
We can’t say because there are interconnected complex systems that will react to each other as they change, and climate science is not mature enough to understand these interactions fully. We are also experiencing conditions with no paleoloclimatic equivalent.
The paper did not include global warming in the simulations - it explores the direct effects of the AMOC system, but not how these interact with climate change. So it does not attempt to answer this question.
AMOC is a heat transport system (basically cooling the SH while warming the NH) and will have few effects on Earth’s Energy Imbalance, meaning there will continue to be a net increase of heat in the system. Paired with AMOC shutdown, this will likely fuel more climate change (such as changed rainfall patterns) and weather volatility.
We can’t say because there are interconnected complex systems that will react to each other as they change, and climate science is not mature enough to understand these interactions fully. We are also experiencing conditions with no paleoloclimatic equivalent.
The paper did not include global warming in the simulations - it explores the direct effects of the AMOC system, but not how these interact with climate change. So it does not attempt to answer this question.
AMOC is a heat transport system (basically cooling the SH while warming the NH) and will have few effects on Earth’s Energy Imbalance, meaning there will continue to be a net increase of heat in the system. Paired with AMOC shutdown, this will likely fuel more climate change (such as changed rainfall patterns) and weather volatility.