Worst case, world war three. If enough other countries back Iran, they might retaliate in a way that triggers something like the nato treaty and you get some combination of countries compelled to do something, which could set off a series of conflicts that might spread.
More likely, some skirmishes and back and forth attacks happen, but nobody outside the region becomes involved directly.
Or, Iran could just posture and use it as political leverage to strengthen their position with allies and the various blocs around the world.
Obviously, there’s variants of those, and plenty of really unlikely options. But based on how iran has acted in the past and how little anyone is pressuring Israel currently, it doesn’t seem like it will escalate unless something else changes
That’s true enough, and that’s why I said that if Iran was backed by others and that retaliated in a way that might.
Let’s say Iran blames the UK, so they explode something there. Or one of their allies decides to pull fuckery in Germany.
That’s what I was talking about.
Edit: the relevant section
might retaliate in a way that triggers something like the nato treaty and you get some combination of countries compelled to do something, which could set off a series of conflicts that might spread.
See the multiple mights and coulds? And that it said something like the nato treaty, not specifically that treaty or only that one.
I’m kinda curious how all those italicized conditional terms and the “like” in there didn’t indicate the idea. There certainly wasn’t anything anywhere in it saying that Iran our Israel were members of NATO. So it’s confusing as hell how you got that as what I was saying
Worst case, world war three. If enough other countries back Iran, they might retaliate in a way that triggers something like the nato treaty and you get some combination of countries compelled to do something, which could set off a series of conflicts that might spread.
More likely, some skirmishes and back and forth attacks happen, but nobody outside the region becomes involved directly.
Or, Iran could just posture and use it as political leverage to strengthen their position with allies and the various blocs around the world.
Obviously, there’s variants of those, and plenty of really unlikely options. But based on how iran has acted in the past and how little anyone is pressuring Israel currently, it doesn’t seem like it will escalate unless something else changes
It can’t trigger the NATO treaty, as neither Israel nor Iran are NATO members
That’s true enough, and that’s why I said that if Iran was backed by others and that retaliated in a way that might.
Let’s say Iran blames the UK, so they explode something there. Or one of their allies decides to pull fuckery in Germany.
That’s what I was talking about.
Edit: the relevant section
See the multiple mights and coulds? And that it said something like the nato treaty, not specifically that treaty or only that one.
I’m kinda curious how all those italicized conditional terms and the “like” in there didn’t indicate the idea. There certainly wasn’t anything anywhere in it saying that Iran our Israel were members of NATO. So it’s confusing as hell how you got that as what I was saying
Sorry,I just understood it different and wanted to clarify. I didn’t mean to contradict you!
No worries, thank you for responding so quickly :)
Thanks that’s really easy to understand