No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 2 days ago

How can I learn to estimate the likelihood of real-world events?

No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 2 days ago

I’m interested in developing the skill to estimate probabilities for real-world situations. What are the best ways to learn this systematically? Are there books, courses, or exercises that teach probabilistic thinking, Bayesian reasoning, or practical forecasting skills?

I want to check this math and see if the AI is gaslighting me.

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djmikeale@feddit.dk
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1 day ago
I can recommend the book by Douglas W. Hubbard:

How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business

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