I think you can use home kit ones locally… which really broadens your options

Strictly speaking, does the law say he can’t run, or can’t be elected again?

Even with those numbers, it’s still frustrating.

You can see in the data that the country dominates attitude. Using only the global averages against the generational buckets isn’t very useful. I want to see the generational breakdown BY COUNTRY.

It’s absolutely mind boggling to me.

Like, even if you accept the premise.

Like, let’s riff. Let’s “yes AND” this.

Jesus comes back. He descends from the sky, bathing in a heavenly glow. Lands himself right on the deck of the Ford.

“Hey guys, you did it. I’m here. What’s up?”

“Jesus, Lord and Savior, we’ve done your work.”

“Ah, this vessel is one of mercy and service… feeding the hungry, healing the sick?”

“Uh, no, it’s a weapons platform. We just blew up a school full of kids, actually”

“…”

“Also to build this ship a ton of money was spent and a bunch of kids are hungry and homeless and we could have helped them but we didn’t”

“…”

Like… motherfucker. If there is exactly one moment of your life that you’re praying Jesus DOESN’T come back, this should be it.

Everyone was the “same” r/all before. They’re talking about “personal interests”.

They’re about to go full Tik Tok and show content as a function of your prior engagement.

The difference between now and 18 months ago is that the shape of the dems had already formed. The groups on the different tracks were already tied down.

Who is the 2028 candidate?

There is time now to pressure the dems to pull Palestine off thier leg of the track.

It isn’t the trolly problem… yet.

Why would it?

This pattern has existed since before Trump in that district. Leans right at federal level, leans left at state level.

Assumption is slowly sliding more right at the federal level… but also sliding more right at the state level. At 38% of the vote Daigle had the best republican showing in 20 years.

This result isn’t a directional divergence. That would maybe raise an eyebrow.

For iberville and assumption, in the presidential elections, support between R and D has moved within bounds of like, 2%, for the last 3 presidential elections.

In that same time frame, the maximum support a republican candidate for the 60th house of representatives has been 18.8%. Not margin, TOTAL.

Don’t get me wrong. It’s not bad news. But the reality of this outcome in this district is “No material shift in voting patterns in area over the last 20 years”.

Take the wins where you can get them, but it’s worth noting the vacated seat was held by a Democrat. This isn’t a flip. The district traditionally learns blue at the local/state level, as per the article.

Not trying to rain on anyone’s parade, but the “oh my god those backwards Louisiana hicks actually voted for a Democrat?!” Narrative is needlessly divisive and kinda shitty. That district has been for years.

Yeah. You vibe with the OT but not so much with the NT?

That’s fine. Just be Jewish.

Honestly, I think it’s as simple as those are just the 5 largest metro centers in Canada.

It’s so jarring to me to hear a sentence structured like that, and I can put my finger on why. It sounds like it was written by Charlie Kelly.

Alberta is where the resistance is coming from. There are more offices in Ontario than Alberta.

It’s an interesting take, to be sure, obviously it remains to be seen. I just would expect the deployment strategy to somehow favour AB if that was the goal.

Because I don’t understand correlation vs causation, I can only conclude that the monetization of X caused a steep decline in knife violence

A mind-boggling amount of work has gone into lowering the barrier of entry. I think as the gap continues to close, it’ll become a less compelling “selling point”

This hits.

I stepped into a similar implementation. Took like 6 months and 10 people to support…

… changing the URL of the sftp server we connected to.

It was well received, by AB standards. The provincial government didn’t bash it (and considering it’s thier ONLY tool, they understood it was well recieved and it was off-limits). A few old conservatives came out of the woodwork to say “put down your personal political views for a minute and watch the speech”, which was essentially an endorsement.

I’ve lived most of my life in Alberta, in both rural and urban centers.

It’s actually a pretty long story, politically, to understand how we went from Klien to Smith.

The short version is that the old conservatives stalled in direction after achieving the goal of eliminating all provincial debt.

They (the party) finally found a purpose, independently (and predating) Trump, of simply using Ottawa as a foil. For everything.

I genuinely believe Smith’s US podcasts likening PP to Trump were designed to HURT PP. A Conservative federal government would be a political disaster provincially. They have no plan. They have no playbook. They ONLY have the “stand up to liberal Ottawa” drum to bang, and they lose that if the liberals aren’t in power anymore.

It isn’t HARD to find Albertans that say they want to separate. But, they’re not anywhere NEAR common enough that a referendum could ever actually find a majority in favour. It’s not anywhere near as popular of an idea as Quebec separation in the 90s.

And OF the Albertans that want to separate, they’re envisioning a country of our own, not becoming a US state. And, as foolish as a notion that it is, I think a good number of supporters recognize the reality that they could end up getting annexed by the US.

Trump’s behaviour on the world stage overall hurts the proposition of Albertan separation. There is a reason pro-separation organizers are trying to distance themselves from Trump. It’s a liability to thier goals. If there was no other measure than that to evaluate what separatist Albertans about Trump statistically (always will be individuals otherwise), that should be enough to answer that.

Are conservative Albertans that far gone? Considering Albertan conservatives as a contiguous block is nonsense to start with.

The vast majority of Albertans would self identify as “conservative” (small “c”), and yet 1000 flipped votes in the last election would have put (ANOTHER) NDP government in place. A great number of Albertan small “c” conservatives don’t vote conservative provincially because they just refuse to acknowledge the overton window shift. Smith (or Kenny) isn’t offering anything but “blame Ottawa”. It’s BARELY enough to get a slim majority. It’s not meaningfully compelling on the grand scale.

Speaking of Overton window shifts, Carney and Harper from a policy perspective are pretty damned similar.

Will Alberta separate? No. Simply, no. Regardless of what interference Trump brings.