

Yes, but the military cannot just quit and find another job. They are not told to “go home and wait until a budget is passed.” And they must bear the associated costs of operation that they would typically get reimbursed for.
It’s not that people in other agencies aren’t suffering, it’s that most those in the military would be the first to have problems that both affect the individual and the government’s power.
As another (but silly) counterpoint, the government shutdown affects every citizen, nay, the world itself. Since the USA is such an important world power, the act of shutting down has wide consequences if it goes on long enough. So won’t you think of the billionaires?
Gamblers Fallacy. This only applies if the events are independent. A six sided die will always be six sided.
You wouldn’t apply Gambler’s Fallacy to a standard game of Blackjack for example. You don’t have to be a card counter to understand that the probability of a card changes as each one is played.
We don’t know what causes magnetic reversal, and it could be many random or non-random factors that lead up to it or some other external factor. Is it a dice roll, or is there something stacking the deck?