I am a person. Not a hexadecimal value.

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Cake day: May 7th, 2025

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  • It’s relatively common for lawyers to say something like “we would never do X, but even if we did X, that would not have been illegal”. In this case X is deporting Abrego García against a court order. You will note that the DOJ also claimed to be unable to bring him back, yet, somehow, magically, after they are threatened with sanctions they were able to bring him back. Weird how that happens.

    So it is obvious to anyone that the DOJ is lying. It should be obvious to the SCOTUS that the DOJ is lying, but, and this is in a case unrelated to Abrego García, Gorsuch and Roberts get all testy when you say that the Solicitor General, who is lying, happens to be lying. As I said, rule of law isn’t doing well right now.



  • Well. They didn’t though. In court they say that they don’t, they wouldn’t, and would never dream of defying court orders.

    It’s just, you know, the Trump DOJ lies to the court. And, some judges are okay with the legal system lying about stuff. It’s a weird position to take, to say, “sure, you planted some evidence, but he was guilty anyway, so it doesn’t really matter.” Most judges, classically, have been in favor of something called the rule of law. Tump doesn’t like the rule of law, the Trump DOJ doesn’t like the rule of law, and now Trump is putting judges on the federal circuit who don’t like the rule of law. It’s not entirely clear that even the SCOTUS cares that much about rule of law right now. As they say “stare decisis is for suckers” or “we don’t care how the law worked yesterday day, we don’t care how the law works tomorrow, this is what we want to happen right now, we put it to a vote, and it’s totally what is going to happen.”









  • Same as Facebook and Google. Sell all the data they collect on you to whoever will buy it. It’s advertising start to finish, top to bottom.

    And, whatever isn’t advertising is part of the surveillance state. Palantir and Peter Theil get to look over your colonoscopy results while they decide whether or not your social credit score has fallen low enough to revoke your citizenship.








  • I think this is a fundamentally different way of thinking that we have. The way to win at betting is to have a better distribution than the other guy. You don’t need to have high confidence about any particular outcome, you just need to recognize when the distribution of odds differ from the true odds. Strong favorites in a low information environment indicate a chance to make good money. Sure, any given low information environment, like a papal conclave, may occur infrequently, and you could lose money on any one event, as is the nature of betting, but if you can recognize when the market is likely to be wrong you can extract money from it. Really, that is the only way to extract money from it.