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I mean, it’s about the right time for the honeymoon to end, but 338 doesn’t really tell that story.
Carney will put all his promises on the table, announce a new CUSMA, and then propose a new budget in October.
If it gets voted down, it will trigger an election before the Conservatives are ready and with a long list of recent promises, actions, and spending for Carney to point to. The Conservatives would have to scramble to put up a new leader. They will probably lose the election with PP at the helm. The Bloc will probably help the libs pass the budget anyway though so I am not expecting this timeline.
If the budget moves ahead, it will be a lot harder to trigger an election for a while and Carney will have more time to prove out his programs. If he fails, sure. But if his policies work, the Libs will probably win the next election.
And what is the thesis here? That people will vote blue instead of red to save the environment? Not likely. The fact that Carney is moving right makes it harder for team blue to attack him.
If they scrap then Chinese EV tariff, the climate folks and the farmers are back on team red. If they can get an announcement that a Chinese EV company will build a plant in Ontario, even the Doug Ford’s of the world may come on board. There is a lot Carney can do to change the calculus of this article completely.
I am not sure that things look as great for the Conservatives as this article suggests.
Polls are bullshit guesses at the best of times. Let’s let things roll and we’ll worry about all the tiger beat style popularity news down the road, if it even means anything. In the meantime, quit trying to create news (get clicks?) out of nothing. This comment is statistically significant 50% of the time.
You know who cares about polls?
Politicians who want to know how far they can push things and still get reelected.
Which means that for regular folks, polls are useful because we know how far we can push our elected representatives, and/or what strategies we might want to use.
What’s the difference between regular folk and normal folk? I’m just speaking for myself. I carry no “we” around with me.
I’m just using the term as shorthand for ‘non-politicians’ in this context
Politicians doing politician things, being politicians. I’m very much looking forward to when the machines come for them; I hope I’m alive to witness the carnage.
I’m very much looking forward to when the machines come for them;
By the time the machines come for the elites, we will be long gone.
Carnage. I see what you did there.
Not intentionally. He’s just unfortunately conveniently named
